StatChat Sunday Kickoff: Sunday, October 19, 2025

[This weeks games]

→Kickoff: 5:30 AM ET on NFLN
→Line: JAX +3
→Over/Under: 44.5
→Moneyline: JAX: +143 | LAR: -170
→Preview: Big Dill says this London tilt is a tight QB duel: Stafford vs Lawrence, with Puka Nacua’s ankle the major storyline — his absence would shove targets to Davante Adams and tilt this to LAR. Expect a close, low-to-moderate scoring game decided by turnovers, special teams and late-game execution.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on CBS
→Line: KC -13
→Over/Under: 45.5
→Moneyline: KC: -860 | LV: +574
→Preview: Arrowhead threatens to eat the Raiders alive on October 19 — KC’s offense (Mahomes projected for ~249 yards, 1.8 TDs) should exploit Vegas’ inconsistent defense while Geno Smith and rookie Ashton Jeanty try to keep drives alive. With Mahomes practicing fully as of now and Vegas struggling to generate pressure or limit mistakes, this looks like a Chiefs blowout unless the Raiders flip the turnover script early.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX
→Line: MIN +2
→Over/Under: 43.5
→Moneyline: MIN: +112 | PHI: -132
→Preview: Big Dill says this one’s a grind: Eagles’ offense has wobbled but still has game-breaking pieces with Hurts and Barkley, while the Vikings’ home crowd and a managed-but-dangerous Justin Jefferson keep it close. Expect a tight, low-to-medium scoring game decided by a few key plays and field position.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on CBS
→Line: TEN +6.5
→Over/Under: 41.5
→Moneyline: TEN: +248 | NE: -308
→Preview: Big Dill says New England’s balance and Drake Maye’s passing (projected ~215 yards) should be the difference at Nissan — Tennessee needs Tony Pollard to dominate the clock to stay close. As of now I’m leaning Patriots to cover the -7 and for the game to flirt with the over.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX
→Line: CHI -4.5
→Over/Under: 44.5
→Moneyline: CHI: -219 | NO: +184
→Preview: Big Dill says Chicago’s offense has found a rhythm and Caleb Williams (proj ~223 pass yds) can exploit New Orleans’ inconsistencies — but New Orleans’ Alvin Kamara (proj ~53 rush yds) being day-to-day is a real swing factor. Lean home team if Kamara’s limited and the Bears protect Williams, otherwise expect a tighter game.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on CBS
→Line: CLE -2.5
→Over/Under: 34.5
→Moneyline: CLE: -144 | MIA: +122
→Preview: Big Dill says: this is gonna be a physical, low-scoring grind in Cleveland — Browns’ offense needs to wake up while Miami leans on Tua and Tyreek (Waddle likely out). Expect a tight finish where turnovers and third-downs decide it.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX
→Line: NYJ +1
→Over/Under: 41
→Moneyline: NYJ: -106 | CAR: -113
→Preview: Big Dill says this one’s a tight, physical slugfest: Jets are desperate at home with Justin Fields’ health a question, while Carolina’s Bryce Young and Chuba Hubbard give the Panthers the more stable offensive profile. Expect a low-to-mid-40s game that comes down to turnovers and clock management.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 4:05 PM ET on CBS
→Line: LAC -2
→Over/Under: 48.5
→Moneyline: LAC: -134 | IND: +113
→Preview: Big Dill says: Chargers at home — small edge to LAC if Justin Herbert can play through some soreness, but Indy’s ground game (and the QB shuffle) keeps this a tight, smash-mouth matchup. Expect a late fourth-quarter finish where Herbert’s mobility and Taylor’s trench work decide it.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 4:05 PM ET on CBS
→Line: DEN -8.5
→Over/Under: 40.5
→Moneyline: DEN: -432 | NYG: +330
→Preview: Mile High gives Denver the edge here — Bo Nix and Courtland Sutton should control tempo while the Giants need Russell Wilson to protect the ball and get Malik Nabers involved. Expect a low-to-mid scoring game with Denver favored to cover.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 4:25 PM ET on FOX
→Line: ARI +7
→Over/Under: 44.5
→Moneyline: ARI: +300 | GB: -377
→Preview: Big Dill says this: Arizona's QB uncertainty (Murray’s mid-foot issue, Brissett starting) makes the Cards brittle, while Green Bay's balanced attack and Josh Jacobs’ run game create matchup problems. I like the Packers to control the clock and the trenches — expect Green Bay to win and the total to flirt with the line.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 4:25 PM ET on FOX
→Line: DAL -1.5
→Over/Under: 54.5
→Moneyline: DAL: -125 | WAS: +106
→Preview: Big Dill says this one’s a shootout: Washington’s mobile attack with Jayden Daniels meets Dallas’ explosive offense led by Dak Prescott, and the market’s calling it a one-score game with juice on the total. Watch turnovers and third-down play in the trenches — those swing the winner and push this toward the Over.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 8:20 PM ET on NBC
→Line: SF -1
→Over/Under: 47
→Moneyline: SF: -119 | ATL: +100
→Preview: Big Dill says: this is a one-score Monday night at Levi’s where Bijan Robinson vs. the 49ers’ inside defense and Brock Purdy’s toe status decide the tempo.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

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