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Yo — Big Dill in the building and this one’s a tasty little matchup: Arizona (0-5) trudges into AT&T Stadium to tangle with the Dallas Cowboys (2-3) in Week 9. On paper it’s a pick-’em with Dallas a slim -2.5 favorite and a 54.0 total, but the real hook is injury and identity. Kyler Murray is rolling into town with a mid-foot/foot issue (as of now) that’s kept him banged up and has Arizona teetering on the edge of “can play / should he play” territory — that changes everything for a team that’s lost a string of close games. 

Dallas still looks like the more complete roster, but not by much. Their defense has been shredded the last few weeks — giving up big chunks of yardage and points — and that’s the knock that keeps this game from being a blowout. Dak Prescott’s projection sits near 250 passing yards and ~1.7 TDs, while the Cowboys have been forced to patch the receiving corps on the fly; CeeDee Lamb’s availability has been a roster storyline this year and could tilt the target distribution if he’s limited. Bottom line: Dallas can score, but they’ve gotta stop anything resembling a sustained drive. 

Matchup to watch: Arizona’s identity is still Kyler’s legs + James Conner in the trenches — Murray’s projection for this game includes about 224.7 pass yards and 32.1 rush yards, which means if he’s mobile he can make Dallas pay over the middle and on designed runs. For Dallas, if Dak hits George Pickens and Jake Ferguson early, Arizona’s secondary (and that banged-up QB situation) might collapse into conservative play-calling. Expect a lot of chess: Arizona will try to shorten drives and make every possession matter; Dallas will try to outscore you in bursts. 

What swings it: if Kyler plays at anything close to 100%, this is a shootout and Arizona’s narrow-loss habit could flip into an upset. If he’s limited or out, Dallas’s edge at home (and slightly cleaner weapon set) should be enough. Given both teams’ recent form and the numbers, I’m leaning Cowboys — but this is one where a late injury update or gameday feel could flip a coin. Big Dill’s takeaway: close, loud, and probably a few lead changes — bring your popcorn.