StatChat Sunday Kickoff: Sunday, October 12, 2025

[This weeks games]

→Kickoff: 5:30 AM ET on NFLN
→Line: NYJ +7
→Over/Under: 43.5
→Moneyline: NYJ: +289 | DEN: -365
→Preview: London’s set for a Broncos favorite: Denver’s steadier offense and Bo Nix’s passing upside (projected 224.5 yards, 1.6 TDs) clash with a sputtering Jets squad that needs Justin Fields to stay healthy and deliver (187.9 pass yards, 45.6 rush yards projected). I’m leaning Broncos to control tempo in a lower-scoring affair, but Garrett Wilson’s playmaking keeps the door ajar for an upset.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on CBS
→Line: NO +3.5
→Over/Under: 46
→Moneyline: NO: +156 | NE: -187
→Preview: Patriots (3-2) roll into the Superdome where the Saints (1-4) are still sorting a QB battle after getting their first win. If Drake Maye stays clean and the Pats’ run game controls tempo, New England should leave New Orleans with the edge — but an explosive Saints passing game would flip the script fast.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX
→Line: BAL +7
→Over/Under: 44
→Moneyline: BAL: +291 | LAR: -366
→Preview: Rams roll into Baltimore heavy favorites — Stafford and a healthy-looking Puka/Adams duo should exploit a struggling Ravens defense. Lamar Jackson’s hamstring is the X-factor (he’s been questionable to return), and if he’s out Baltimore leans hard on Derrick Henry while the Rams win the matchup up front.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on CBS
→Line: MIA +3.5
→Over/Under: 44.5
→Moneyline: MIA: +167 | LAC: -198
→Preview: Chargers’ passing game looks positioned to exploit Miami’s sudden personnel hole — with Omarion Hampton on IR and Tyreek Hill out, LAC’s Justin Herbert should have the edge while Miami leans on De'Von Achane. Expect LAC to win a game decided by offensive rhythm and field-position plays.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on CBS
→Line: PIT -6
→Over/Under: 38
→Moneyline: PIT: -293 | CLE: +238
→Preview: Big Dill says: Steelers handle business at Acrisure — Rodgers manages the game while Pittsburgh’s run balance keeps Cleveland off rhythm. Expect a low-scoring affair with Pittsburgh covering the -5.5 and the total staying under 38.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX
→Line: IND -8.5
→Over/Under: 46
→Moneyline: IND: -459 | ARI: +350
→Preview: Big Dill says: Colts’ stout defense and Jonathan Taylor’s ground game give Indy the edge at home, but Kyler Murray + Marvin Harrison Jr. keep Arizona dangerous in tight spots.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX
→Line: JAX +1
→Over/Under: 47.5
→Moneyline: JAX: -104 | SEA: -115
→Preview: This is a one-score AFC South showdown — Jacksonville’s balanced offense with Trevor Lawrence (shoulder-managed but ramping up) meets Sam Darnold and a Seattle unit that can flip the field with Cooper Kupp and Kenneth Walker III. Expect a tight, late-game finish where turnovers and clock control decide it.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET on FOX
→Line: CAR +3
→Over/Under: 47.5
→Moneyline: CAR: +136 | DAL: -162
→Preview: Big Dill says: this is a close, mistake-driven NFC tilt — Cowboys have the passing edge while the Panthers will try to control tempo with the run. Watch Chuba Hubbard vs.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 4:05 PM ET on FOX
→Line: LV -3.5
→Over/Under: 41.5
→Moneyline: LV: -198 | TEN: +166
→Preview: Big Dill says this one’s a close, tense affair: Las Vegas has to shake off a rough start and a likely Brock Bowers knee issue, while rookie Cam Ward and Tennessee’s playmakers can make them pay if the Raiders don’t protect the ball. Expect a low-to-mid scoring, back-and-forth game where turnovers and a couple big plays decide it.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 4:25 PM ET on CBS
→Line: GB -14.5
→Over/Under: 44.5
→Moneyline: GB: -1220 | CIN: +745
→Preview: Big Dill reads it straight: with Joe Burrow on IR and Cincinnati auditioning QBs, Green Bay’s home crew (and a steady run game with Josh Jacobs) look set to dominate. Expect the Packers to control tempo, lean on Jacobs and Jordan Love, and cover the -14 while the total trends under 44.5.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 4:25 PM ET on CBS
→Line: TB -3.5
→Over/Under: 46.5
→Moneyline: TB: -185 | SF: +155
→Preview: Big Dill: Tampa Bay’s home field and short-game offense give them the nod in a tight Week 6 tilt — the line’s TB -3 and the total’s 47.5, so expect a close, playmaking affair that comes down to turnovers and a few splash plays.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

→Kickoff: 8:20 PM ET on NBC
→Line: KC -2.5
→Over/Under: 52
→Moneyline: KC: -136 | DET: +116
→Preview: Big Dill says: Lions’ high-octane offense (Goff, Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra) meets Chiefs’ Mahomes-led attack at Arrowhead — this one’s a tight, fast game that’ll come down to red-zone execution and who wins the line. Expect a back-and-forth prime-time thriller with momentum swings and a narrow margin.
→Full game preview: Open matchup

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